antiprojekcija ([info]antiprojekcija) rakstīja,
Regarding the SKPC data (in particular daily or weekly infection statistics) - these can be misleading (and I would argue were misleading this spring) because of a general apathy and unwillingness to test, especially in alienated cohorts. I doubt that the real infection rate in these groups was equal. In any case - we have the hospitalization and death rates which should be much more reliable (and pretty much match up with similar statistics in other countries).

I now took a look at the UK data, and, yeah, I see the trend. It hasn't really changed since 2021 as well (except that back then there was no boosters yet and the excess deaths might have been masked by the high number of covid deaths among the unvaccinated). I don't know what to make of it at the moment. A possible explanation would be an increased mortality rate shortly after vaccination, but that does not explain the high mortality for the "Second dose, at least 6 months ago" group, for example.

Btw, you should also notice that the mortality rate in the fully vaccinated group is lower by a lot more than the mortality rate due to covid. This would indicate that there are some more factors at play. Perhaps, the more affluent and health-conscious are already mostly fully vaccinated, while the rest (who are more likely to die) are just now catching up? This also seems unsatisfactory, because it does not explain the low mortality in the unvaccinated group.

I'll keep an eye on newer data and research on this topic.

P.S. I agree that it was a very politicised issue, but I don't think it is anymore. I feel that it has largely dropped below the radar since the war started.


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