brookings ([info]brookings) rakstīja,
1) I don't agree that it is misinformation, and I will tell you why. The SPKC used to publish relative infection rates of vaxed and unvaxed. When the infection rates of the unvaxed fell so much that the unvaccinated and partially vaccinated were less likely to be infected than the fully vaccinated, they removed that chart from their twitter and home page (some time in March this year of memory serves).

They then replaced it with a graph, which you can see on post of mine here on April 14th. When the levels of infection of the boosted and double vaxed fell to the levels of unvaxed or below, that graph disappeared, too.

I then wrote to both the SPKC and the VM to get the numbers of infection and the numbers of the various cohorts. I published some of it on Ciba. the standout fact for me was the incredibly high relative rate of infection in those who had started vaccination - 10x higher than the other groups. It also did not show any significant difference in the infection rates of the unvaxed, vaxed, and boosted. The results did not show what the SPKC currently purports to be the case. If something has changed, I would much prefer that the workings are shown and the absolute numbers of the infection (and cohort sizes) are given.

I say this because as I mentioned before this is clearly (in my view) a political issue, and information that casts shade on the safety and efficacy of these vaccines is, therefore, a political threat.

The Office of National Statistics data on all-cause mortality is extremely troubling. Here it is:

Age-standardised mortality rate/100,000 person years [updated] UK April 2022:

Unvaccinated: 1204.6
First dose, less than 21 days ago: 6578.6
First dose, at least 21 days ago: 2497.9
Second dose, less than 21 days ago: 2786.2
Second dose, between 21 days and 6 months ago: 2333.5
Second dose, at least 6 months ago: 2355.6
Third dose or booster, less than 21 days ago: 1522.5
Third dose or booster, at least 21 days ago: 966.1


May 2022:

Unvaccinated: 872.9
First dose, less than 21 days ago: x (not enough data)
First dose, at least 21 days ago: 1873.4
Second dose, less than 21 days ago: x
Second dose, between 21 days and 6 months ago: 1815.9
Second dose, at least 6 months ago: 1703.7
Third dose or booster, less than 21 days ago: 2056
Third dose or booster, at least 21 days ago: 797

As you can se the numbers are way higher in all but the 'third dose or booster at least 21 days ago'. What interested me was how the numbers for this group would change over time. Would they also rise to the levels of the other vaxed cohorts? As I mentioned in my post of Sep 28th, is it dangerous to stop getting vaxed, as if you do, your chances of dying become much higher (much higher than the unvaxed cohort). By the way, these figures are age-adjusted. If there is a normal explanation as to why they vary so much, it would be good to know.



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