Any graphic that uses "coronavirus deaths" is suspect by definition, because: (a) every country counts these differently, (b) even the same country may record them differently at different time, and (c) there will be unpredictable mistaken records both ways.

What will work is comparison of actual death tolls per month for this year compared to past years (let's say, include at least one recent year with high flu mortality, at least 1 recent year with low flu mortality, and at least 1 year with median death rates for the decade). Whatever effects would be there, would by definition include all coronavirus effects.

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Skaties no 2:30

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This is very encouraging, in fact.

It seems to mean that whatever increase in COVID cases we have now, is going to be not as sharp as the previous one.

The devil is in the details, however, so I would like to point out that he deals with total deaths only at around the 2:30 point you mentioned, and as far as I could see from there, the rest of the video has graphs, which again deal only with recorded COVID cases. Which, once again, are, unfortunately, subject to interpretation.

When he talks about Sweden later on, for example, he compares Imperial college etc. graphs with actual COVID deaths recorded. However, Sweden was very lax in doing COVID tests even up to June (see, eg. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1133055/weekly-number-of-coronavirus-tests-in-sweden/ ), so it doesn't make sense to use COVID graphs for that. Nothing, but total deaths in country per period, in all comparisons, seems to be meaningful.

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Agreed (I think). The number of cases (positive tests) mean nothing on their own. We need not only to get a good idea of the false positive rate, the information about a rise in the number needs also to be given with info about the number of tests carried out (which does happen in LV). Most people in the UK, seem (I think) to have no idea we are now running at about 300,000/day. compared to about 20,000 a day in Spring (I think those numbers are correct).

The media over there is, on the whole, unremittingly doom-laden - which makes me suspicious.

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