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Professor Adrian Hill from Oxford University [May. 27th, 2020|11:23 am]
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From:[info]smejmoon
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 11:46 am
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From my understanding to have a proof that vaccine works they need a lot of test cases. And at they need to experiment a lot to try again and again, because first attempts will fail.

If they don't get enough test cases, they either won't find good vaccine or won't be able to assert that it's good, even if they've found it.

Harry Cockburn is doing terrible job at informing and good job at creating hype.
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From:[info]smejmoon
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 11:47 am
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and virus is mutating which creates another race against time.
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From:[info]brookings
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 11:48 am
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We're all gonna die!!!
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From:[info]smejmoon
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 11:53 am
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"test cases", maybe I'm heartless motherfucker after all..

How I understand that they create some vaccine, then they need to apply it to enough people, then they need to get infected. Mice they infect artificially, this doesn't work with humans. So need to wait for natural process.
That's lengthy and the better we are at containing the spread, the longer it will be. If people don't get infected, then we don't know if vaccine helps.

And this has to be done again and again, because first attempts probably won't succeed.

Or they need to create a lot of random vaccines and inject them even more of population. Instead of pinpointing the solution, use shotgun approach.

So it gets more and more expensive in terms or time, money, hope, etcetera.


If many people get infected, then it's faster to try out vaccines.
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From:[info]brookings
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 12:43 pm
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Think you are being a little unfair on Mr Cockburn (great name). That info seems broadly to be included in the article.
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From:[info]smejmoon
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 12:55 pm
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I think I have some stupidity aversion today; not enough sleep. But I tried really hard not to make any inappropriate puns. ;)

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From:[info]brookings
Date:May 27th, 2020 - 12:58 pm
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Oh, I dive straight in: any opportunity :)