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Thursday, April 23rd, 2015

    Time Event
    4:25p
    Mazs Nasima Taleba rakstiņš (Talebs - "Melnā gulbja" un "Antifragile" autors, manā izpratnē viens no gudrākajiem cilvēkiem, kādi šobrīd publicējas) ar ļoti labu bibliogrāfiju:
    http://econjwatch.org/articles/religion-heuristics-and-intergenerational-risk-management
    par visu šo: "es šito nesaprotu, tāpēc tas ir iracionāls un bezjēdzīgs"

    It is not just that religion is a helpful source of sound heuristics for resisting gambler’s ruin and similar hazards. More strongly, we should say that we humans actually don’t know whether human beings can live sustainably without something like religion. Modernity is in this sense a dangerous uncontrolled experiment. The amount of historical time that any significant number of humans have lived without religion is infinitesimal compared to the sweep of history. Given that, the amount of time that we have sought as societies, as a species, to live without religion is almost nil. It is a symptom of chronic short-termism and over-optimism that people now assume that living in such a way is sustainable.
    Just as nature is ‘wiser’ than us (in a statistical, risk-management sense) with regard to a vast swathe of threats, illnesses, etc., just as our knowledge only surpasses nature’s in unusual and rare circumstances, so religious man is wiser than irreligious and non-religious man with regard to a vast swathe of threats, moral and spiritual illnesses and problems, etc. The knowledge of irreligious and non-religious man surpasses that of religious man only in rare and unusual circumstances. Until we have had a lot longer to develop non-religious heuristics that work, we should not throw the precautionary, religion-as-risk-management baby out with the superstitious, theological-claptrap bathwater.

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