Canary in the Coal Mine - Day

Friday, November 11, 2016

1:14PM

"Hillary would have won, if only we didn't have the electoral college? I keep seeing this. It's not true.

(When you change the rules, candidates change strategies. Without the electoral college, he would have campaigned mainly in places where he could get the most votes. Trump would have swept Texas, for example, even more than he did. And likely still would have won.)

Arguments like this allow us to stay inside the bubble of belief, safe from the uncomfortable truths around us. Don't fall for them."

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5:05PM - Thiel vs. Schmidt / Facebook vs. Google / Trump vs. the Clintons

"Facebook has sentiment analysis and definitely had a better guess on how the election would turn out than perhaps anyone else in the world. While pollsters were trying to extrapolate on what the entire population would be doing based on small samples and proprietary methods, Facebook just had the data. Not only can Facebook say you are a Trump supporter, but they can know by how much and as time series!"

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