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02:33 pm estapens [Link]	They constructed a very complicated scenario and insisted on calling it higly probale. It is not -it is only a plausible story A cab was involved in a hit-and-run accident last night. Two cab companies, the Green and the Blue oprate in this city. #85% of the cabs in the city are Green and 15% are Blue #A witness identified the cab as Blue. The court tested the reliability of the witness under the circumstances that existed on the night of the accident and concluded that thr witness correctly identified each of the two colors 80% of the time and failed 20% What is the probability that the cab involved in the accident was Blue rather than Green?
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